Disability Risk, Disability Insurance and Life Cycle Behavior

نویسندگان

  • Hamish Low
  • Luigi Pistaferri
چکیده

We provide a framework for understanding how disability risk and features of the disability insurance program in the US affect individual consumption and labor supply behavior in an explicit life-cycle setting. We decompose earnings risk into disability shocks (that reduce the ability to work) and shocks to general productivity. We identify structural parameters of the model using indirect inference and longitudinal data on consumption, disability status, disability insurance receipt, and earnings. We use our model to evaluate both the insurance benefit and the incentive effects of various program changes: (a) Increasing the “strictness” of the disability test; (b) Changing the probability of re-assessment for DI; (c) Changing the progressivity of DI payments, and (d) Reducing means-tested benefits that provide a consumption floor to DI applicants. We show that increasing the strictness of screening would increase welfare. PRELIMINARY AND INCOMPLETE

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تاریخ انتشار 2008